Every fall, buyers ask me some version of the same question: Is this a good time to buy a house that needs work? I can't tell you where prices or rates are going. What I can do is show you what the people who track remodeling and home sales are seeing right now, and what it means if you're buying with a renovation loan.
More sellers are cutting prices
In September, a growing share of New Jersey listings had a price cut. A county-by-county report built on Redfin data found cuts on 20.3% of listings in Ocean County, 19.5% in Mercer and 17.3% in Monmouth. In Middlesex, homes sat a median of 75 days.
The houses that sit longest are often the ones that need work, because most buyers can't get a regular mortgage on them, or don't want to pay cash for the repairs after closing. That's where a renovation buyer has leverage. You can make an offer a seller can actually close on, at a price that reflects the house's condition.
Homes keep getting older
NAHB says the typical American home is now 41 years old, up from 31 in 2006. In much of New Jersey, it's older than that. A 40-year-old house is due for a roof, a furnace, windows and a kitchen, roughly in that order.
That's why NAHB forecasts remodeling to grow about 3% this year after inflation, and Harvard's Joint Center for Housing Studies expects homeowners to spend about $518 billion on improvements by the end of 2026. Older houses need work, whatever the market does.
Contractors are busy, but slower
NAHB's quarterly survey of remodelers held steady this fall. Its index came in at 62, and the reading for large projects over $50,000, the size of most renovation-loan scopes, rose two points. Two other findings matter for you:
- Labor shortages are stretching timelines. Remodelers say projects take longer to finish.
- Some customers are hesitating because of economic uncertainty. Contractors with gaps in their schedules may be easier to book and more willing to price competitively.
What to do with this
Line up your contractor before you make an offer. A slow bid is the most common reason a renovation closing slips, and busy contractors bid slowly. My guide to finding a contractor in New Jersey covers how.
Budget with current prices. Remodelers' input costs are up more than 51% since 2019. A neighbor's kitchen price from 2021 is not your number. Get an itemized bid on your house.
Build time into the completion schedule. With labor tight, ask your contractor for a realistic finish date and plan your move around it. The loan's closing can still happen in about 45 days on most HomeStyle and Limited 203k purchases; it's the construction afterward that needs the cushion.
Use the price cut wisely. A lower purchase price leaves more room under the loan limit for the renovation. On HomeStyle, the renovation can be up to 75% of the as-completed value or price plus renovation, whichever is less. On a house that needs a lot, that room matters.
The short version
- Price cuts are up in several New Jersey counties, and fixer-uppers tend to sit longest.
- The typical home is 41 years old, and remodeling spending is still growing.
- Remodelers are steady but slower, so book your contractor early and budget with current prices.
- A renovation loan lets you buy at the as-is price and finance the work, which is how you take advantage of a house other buyers pass on.
Found a house that's been sitting? Send me the listing and I'll tell you what a renovation loan can do with it.
Found a Price Cut on a Fixer-Upper?
Send me the listing. I'll show you how the lower price changes what you can finance for the renovation and which program fits.
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